AUDIENCEPASSPORT · LIST AUDIT · LA-26-0001

The Backcut — subscriber list audit

thebackcut.com · weekly newsletter for tree service operators · list snapshot 2026-08-05 · issued 2026-08-05 · companion to the traffic passport (AP-26-0002)

LISTAUDIT2026-08-05aggregate-only

This document audits the subscriber list itself: what subscribers declared about their businesses, and how much of it independent measurement can check. Row-level identities never leave the measurement environment; every number here is an aggregate. Declared answers are self-reported and graded ◔ declared, never blended with ✓ verified reads.

01 · Scale and verification funnel
active subscriptions on platform2,096
answered the intake survey (45%)949
verified by at least one independent layer (29%)611
survey answers that can be cross-checked (27% of responders)256

Verification layers: SHA-256 email match against a US identity graph (540 people, 25.8%) and an employment-data match on business-domain and graph-linked work emails (175, of which 31 arrived via graph-linked alternate identities and carry second-tier confidence). Union, deduplicated: 611.

02 · What subscribers declare
◔ declared

Survey shown at signup; 949 of 2,096 answered (45%). Self-selected and self-reported: quote as "declared," never as measured.

186declare $500k+ annual revenue (96 at $500k–$1M, 87 at $1M+, 3 multi-answers)
676declare role: Owner
722selected "Mostly referrals (no paid)" among their channels (multi-select)

Declared revenue

Under $200k61%
$200k–$500k20%
$500k–$1M10%
$1M+9%

Declared role

Owner71%
Arborist16%
Other5%
GM/Ops5%
Office/Admin2%
Marketing1%

Crew size

3-538%
1 (owner-op)28%
221%
6-97%
10+7%

Channels running today (multi-select)

Mostly referrals (no paid)76%
Meta (Facebook/Instagram)30%
Google Ads18%
Yelp/Thumbtack/Nextdoor12%
GBP/Maps9%
LSA5%

Biggest constraint (multi-select)

Hiring/staffing33%
Calendar gaps32%
Tire-kickers26%
Too many estimates not closing25%
Missed calls/Slow follow-up11%
Tracking is a mess9%
Maps/LSA visibility8%
03 · Declared vs verified
confirmed 23%mixed 6%inconsistent signals 50%unverifiable 598%

Of 677 subscribers declaring the Owner role, independent employment data confirms 23, shows only employee-tier signals for 50, splits for 6, and cannot check 598. "Inconsistent" is a signal, not an accusation: side-business owner-operators with W-2 day jobs are common in this trade, and employment records go stale. The number is reported so a sponsor knows exactly how much of the owner claim is independently supported.

Of 186 subscribers declaring $500k+ revenue, 50 are checkable. A crew-size gate flags 13 ($500k+ declared with a one-to-two person crew). 3 checkable claims trace to employees of large firms, where the revenue answer describes the employer, not an owned business — a question-wording artifact, measured at roughly 5-7% of checkable big claims rather than a systemic one.

04 · The verified core

The 540 identity-verified subscribers (25.8% of the list) read as follows. Cells below the n=5 floor are suppressed, never extrapolated.

Employment seniority (where present)

Cxo18%
Staff16%
Manager5%
Vp2%
Director1%

Company size (where present)

1 to 1013%
11 to 256%
26 to 506%
10000+5%
101 to 2501%
51 to 1001%

Where the verified core lives

AK · below small-cell floor (n<5)AL · 10 people · 1.9% of known-state baseAR · below small-cell floor (n<5)AZ · 9 people · 1.7% of known-state baseCA · 32 people · 6.2% of known-state baseCO · 10 people · 1.9% of known-state baseCT · 5 people · 1.0% of known-state baseDC · no identified people in windowDE · below small-cell floor (n<5)FL · 23 people · 4.5% of known-state baseGA · 24 people · 4.7% of known-state baseHI · no identified people in windowIA · 6 people · 1.2% of known-state baseID · 7 people · 1.4% of known-state baseIL · 16 people · 3.1% of known-state baseIN · 14 people · 2.7% of known-state baseKS · 6 people · 1.2% of known-state baseKY · 5 people · 1.0% of known-state baseLA · below small-cell floor (n<5)MA · 7 people · 1.4% of known-state baseMD · 5 people · 1.0% of known-state baseME · 5 people · 1.0% of known-state baseMI · 36 people · 7.0% of known-state baseMN · 16 people · 3.1% of known-state baseMO · 10 people · 1.9% of known-state baseMS · below small-cell floor (n<5)MT · below small-cell floor (n<5)NC · 20 people · 3.9% of known-state baseND · below small-cell floor (n<5)NE · 5 people · 1.0% of known-state baseNH · below small-cell floor (n<5)NJ · 13 people · 2.5% of known-state baseNM · below small-cell floor (n<5)NV · no identified people in windowNY · 21 people · 4.1% of known-state baseOH · 20 people · 3.9% of known-state baseOK · 9 people · 1.7% of known-state baseOR · 14 people · 2.7% of known-state basePA · 24 people · 4.7% of known-state baseRI · no identified people in windowSC · 14 people · 2.7% of known-state baseSD · below small-cell floor (n<5)TN · 9 people · 1.7% of known-state baseTX · 46 people · 8.9% of known-state baseUT · 5 people · 1.0% of known-state baseVA · 13 people · 2.5% of known-state baseVT · below small-cell floor (n<5)WA · 8 people · 1.6% of known-state baseWI · 13 people · 2.5% of known-state baseWV · 5 people · 1.0% of known-state baseWY · no identified people in windowAL2%AZ2%CA6%CO2%FL4%GA5%IA1%ID1%IL3%IN3%KS1%KY1%ME1%MI7%MN3%MO2%NC4%NE1%NY4%OH4%OK2%OR3%PA5%SC3%TN2%TX9%UT1%VA3%WA2%WI3%WV
share of known-state basebelow floor n<5none identified

Leading states: TX 9%, MI 7%, CA 6%, GA 5%, PA 5%. Tint carries each state’s share of the known-state base; hover any state for its exact count and share. Hatched states hold 31 people across 11 cells, counted in fills, never rendered individually.

320homeowners among the verified with housing data
399 M / 137 Fgender where present
11 of 32employment-matched declared Owners confirmed owner / founder / c-suite
05 · Claims ledger
ClaimSourceMethodBasis
✓ verified2096 active subscriptions; 949 intake-survey responders (45%)beehiiv APIfull-list pull with survey fields2026-08-05 snapshot
✓ verified540 subscribers resolve to identity-verified people (25.8%)identity graphSHA-256 HEM match, aggregate output only2096 emails
✓ verified175 carry independent employment records (144 on business-domain signup emails, 31 via graph-linked work emails, second-tier confidence)employment graphstandard person match, no data purchased about non-matches483 candidate emails
✓ verifiedOwner claims: 23 confirmed / 50 inconsistent / 598 unverifiable of 677cross-checkdeclared role vs independent employment signalsresponder set
~ modeledDeclared revenue and crew are self-reported and shown under the declared grade onlyintake surveyself-report; no independent revenue instrument exists in this audit949 responders

✓ verified read from an instrument. ◔ declared self-reported by subscribers, quotable only as such. ~ modeled estimated, flagged wherever it appears. The declared-revenue row is graded to make the point structurally: no row in this document upgrades a self-report into a measurement.

06 · What this audit does not claim
  • Intent-topic outliers are not in this issue. A one-window profile (June 2026) showed a business-services and recreational-vehicle lean, but single-window reads on the graph's ~7-day event horizon are directional, not quotable. The list joined the longitudinal intent archive on 2026-08-05 (2,474 hashed identities, swept twice weekly); the intent panel ships when accumulated windows clear the small-cell floor with a genuine over-index, stated rather than stretched.
  • No independent read of any subscriber's actual revenue exists here; revenue is declared only.
  • "Inconsistent signals" is never reported as deception; employment data is incomplete and goes stale.
  • The 73% of survey answers that cannot be cross-checked are reported as unverifiable, not assumed true or false.
  • Graph-linked (pivot) employment matches can attach a household member's or stale identity; they are labeled second-tier and excluded from per-claim verdicts where they stand alone.
  • No raw addresses, no person-level output, no list resale: matching runs on hashed emails and only aggregates leave the measurement environment.

Issued by audiencepassport.com. Companion documents: traffic passport AP-26-0002. This audit re-issues with the same document number as the list grows.

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